On Saturday afternoon, BYU lost to Arizona State 28-23. With the loss, the Cougars lost control of their own destiny to the Big 12 championship game. While BYU's game against Arizona State was winding down, however, Colorado lost to Kansas which greatly increased BYU's chances to make the Big 12 championship game.

Of course, anything can happen on the football field, but let’s look at some of the data-driven prediction models to see how this weekend’s most critical contests are expected to shake out, along with how those projections will affect the Big 12 championship game matchup.

Big 12 scenarios entering final week of regular season. Here's the tiebreaker scenarios for the Big 12 championship game between Arizona State, Colorado, BYU and Iowa State after